Calgary likely to see white Christmas after getting less snow than Mississippi so far this month

Calgary will likely see snow Christmas morning despite the past week of record-breaking sometimes double-digit enjoyable temperatures,a climatologistsays.

Temperatures at the airport on Saturday broke a 127-year heat record at 15.4 C.

In many parts of the city, that felt closer to 16 or17 C in the sunshine, Environment Canada senior climatologist David Phillips told the Calgary Eyeopeneron Monday.

"You haven't had a flake of snow in December," he said. "They've had more snow in Mississippi and Louisiana than Alberta. It truly is weird."

The federal weather service predicts no snow and temperatures well above freezingthrough to next Sunday at least.

This balminess is not going to continue.- David Phillips, climatologist

A few centimetres of snow are expected next week and temperatures after that will stay cool, helping to keep snow stuck to tree branches and lawns, Phillips said.

"All you need is two centimetres of snow sitting on there on Christmas morning and that gives you a white Christmas," Phillips said. "This balminess is not going to continue right through to the new year."

Calgary has had measurable snow on the ground for about 58 per cent of the Christmas days from 1955 to 2015, according to Environment Canada's historical data, as well as for each of the past two years.

'Reality sets in'

Usually, Calgariansbrace for a sudden change after such nice weather but this month's transition won't so dramatic, he said.

"This warm kind of balmy conditions tropical almost and then all of a sudden, reality sets in. You get Siberian air and you're going from muscle shirts and tank tops to snow pants and parkas and balaclavas," Phillips said.

• Hearexactly what's causing the strange weather Calgary is experiencing:

Also, strangely, this warmweather isn't from a chinook, he said. Instead, a high pressure area covering the western half of the continent is creatingbalmy, sunny and very dry conditions in the north.

Further south, that area has shiftedwinds east to west toward the coast, which speed up through mountains and canyons, he said.

Those strong, gusting winds and dry conditions are making wildfire fighting efforts even more difficult in California, he said.

Wildfires in that state have destroyed hundreds of homes and buildings, forcing more than 200,000 people to evacuate.

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With files from the Calgary Eyeopener