Why Quebec waded into the Trans Mountain pipeline spat

Quebec's leaders spent lastweek sending ominous signsthey don't like how this whole Trans Mountain pipeline thing is shaking out.

Premier Philippe Couillardwas standing next to Justin Trudeau in Montreal when the prime minister declared on Tuesday that Ottawa was "determined to see that pipeline built" despite the opposition of the British Columbia government.

Couillardstayed quiet at the time, but grew more garrulous a few days later. "I'd be very careful," he said in comments directed at the feds.

Trudeau's intention to override B.C.'s concerns about the environmental impact of the pipeline was "not a good sign for federalism," the premier added.

On Saturday, Quebec's minister forCanadian relations,Jean-Marc Fournier, circulated an open letterarguing Ottawa was sending the wrong message to the oil industry by backing Trans Mountain so fervently.

The federal government was encouraging "developers to ignore provincial environmental rules which were adopted in the interest of citizens who are concerned or impacted by the implementation of these projects,"Fournierwrote.

"Ignoring provincial legislation in no way fosters social acceptability."

Sympathy pains

For the pipeline's backers, Quebec's contribution to the controversy was hardly welcome. It hashelped turbo-charge an already sensitive issue. Few can now claim that it's just a local spat between two provinces.

So why wadeuninvitedinto a debate happening on the other side of the country?

One hypothesis:Couillardis experiencing sympathy pains for his B.C. counterpart, John Horgan.

Couillardcould have found himself in a similar position had another oil giant, TransCanada,not dropped its plans to build theEnergy East pipeline, which would have carried crude oil from Alberta to New Brunswick.

The pipeline was deeply unpopular in Quebecamong federalists and sovereigntists alike. But pipelines crossing provincial boundaries fall under federaljurisdiction. Ottawa would have final say.

To counter its lack of jurisdictional clout, Quebec insisted the pipeline couldn't be built without meeting its own environmental standards.

TransCanadainitially balked, but under threat of an injunction, relented and agreed to submit its project to the provincial environmental review board (known in Quebec as the BAPE).

What would Couillard have done had the BAPErecommendations run counter to the federal government's desires?

He was spared that headache when plans for the pipeline collapsed last fall. Unlike with the Trans Mountain project, Ottawa wasn't interested in shepherding Energy Eastthrough to conclusion.

Betting on cooperative federalism

But Couillard'sreproaches this week are about more than dodging a bullet. His government has invested significant time, and some money, into trying to develop a new dynamic for Quebec within the federation.

Last year, it released an ambitious proposal to revisit elements of the Constitution, hoping to lay the groundwork for someday maybe, possibly having Quebec finally sign on.

Trudeau trashed the idea before having read the 200-page document, perhaps envisioning another MeechLake or Charlottetown.

But it's really just a long argument for cooperative federalism, which boils downtoOttawa seekingprovincial input on important issues, even if it doesn't have to, according to the Constitution.

From Couillard's perspective, such a commitment would prevent scenarios such as the one unfolding in B.C., where the feds are pulling rank.

In Quebec, such a move would risk fanningthe cooling embers of the sovereigntist movement.

Couillard's wager is that cooperative federalism would prevent suchflashpointsof constitutional strife. And in doing so, open the prospect of neutralizingthe sovereigntistthreat for another generation.

For the moment, though, Ottawa appears intent on heading in a different direction.