10 crucial ridings to watch on Nova Scotia election night - Action News
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Nova Scotia

10 crucial ridings to watch on Nova Scotia election night

CBC Nova Scotia's political reporters have compiled a list of the 10 ridings you'll want to keep a close eye on.

From rural to urban, these ridings will be hotly contested in the May 30 election

Some of the candidates running in battleground ridings are: Tory Matt Whitman (top left), Liberal Ben Jessome (top centre), New Democrat Paul McGuinness (top right), Liberal Vernon Oickle (bottom left), PC candidate Kim Masland (bottom centre) and New Democrat John Davis (bottom right). (CBC)

With less than a week to go until Nova Scotians head to the polls, the latest projections show the Liberals teetering on the edge of a majority government.

The following 10 ridings, as selected by CBC Nova Scotia's team of election reporters, will play a criticalrole in determining the outcome of the May 30 election.

Clayton Park West

This electoral district formed after the 2012 electoral boundary review is one of only fourwhere an incumbent is not running, along with Dartmouth East, Dartmouth Southand Queens-Shelburne. It is widely considered one of the most ethnically diverse areas of Nova Scotia.

The seat has been held for the past four years by Liberal Diana Whalen, who's held multiple cabinet roles under Stephen McNeil, including deputy premier. From 2003 to 2013, Whalen represented Halifax Clayton Park, which was largely swallowed up in the creation of Clayton Park West.

Whalen announced earlier this year she would not be running in order to have more balance in her life after a health scare. In her place the Liberals are running RafahDiCostanzo. The Progressive Conservatives are putting forward Paul Kimball andthe New Democrats are running RanaZaman.

There are two party leaders running in this race:Jonathan G. Dean for the Atlantica Party and Thomas Trappenberg for the Greens. In fact, Trappenberg is specifically running here because there's no incumbent. He's hoping the success of Green party leaders recently winning seats in N.B. and P.E.I. spills over to here.

Chester-St. Margaret's

New Democrat Denise Peterson-Rafuse is looking to hold on to her seat one of only five the NDP had going into the election but the Progressive Conservatives have their eyes on it. Tory Leader Jamie Baillie has made at least four visits to the riding with candidate Julie Chaisson, making it among his most popular stops on the campaign trail. Between 1998 and 2009, the riding was held by the PCs.

Also in the race are Liberal Hugh MacKay and the Green Party's Harry Ward.

Dartmouth East

Independent MLA Andrew Younger, who most recently held the district, is not reoffering. His abrupt decision to withdraw as a candidate for personal reasons has thrown Dartmouth East upside down and wide open.

Two of the candidates in Dartmouth East are Liberal Edgar Burns (left) and Tory Tim Halman (centre). The NDP dropped candidate Bill McEwen (right) due to offensive comments he previously made online. (Mark Crosby/CBC)

This is also the electoral district where the New Democrats dropped candidate Bill McEwen when inappropriate social media comments became public. That happenedafter the nomination deadline had passed, so McEwen's name will be on the ballot.

Halifax Armdale

This electoral district will be interesting to watch because of two high-profile candidates: Liberal LenaDiab and New Democrat David Wheeler.Diab isminister of immigration in Stephen McNeil's cabinet,while Wheeler previously served aspresident of Cape Breton University. Hewas dismissed by the university's boardlate last year amid allegations he was too friendly with the faculty union.

Cabinet minister Lena Diab (left) is squaring off against New Democrat David Wheeler (right), the former president of Cape Breton University, in Halifax Armdale. (CBC)

Halifax Chebucto

The big question in this district is whether NDP Leader Gary Burrill can take it from incumbent Liberal Joachim Stroink and fend off Progressive Conservative candidate John Wesley Chisholm. Burrill was elected in 2009 in Colchester-Musquodoboit Valleybut lost in 2013 and has since uprooted to Halifax Chebucto.

NDP Leader Gary Burrill , who currently doesn't have a seat in the House, is hoping to capture one in Halifax Chebucto, which has been until recently a traditional NDP stronghold. (The Canadian Press)

The recent history here is favourable for the New Democrats. Halifax Chebucto elected Howard Epstein a longtime New Democrat five times and went Liberal only after Epstein declined to reoffer in 2013. Epstein is now Burrill's official campaign agent.

Hammonds Plains-Lucasville

This suburban electoral district was part of a near sweep of metro Halifax by theLiberals in the last provincial election.

Three of the four candidates running in Hammonds Plains-Lucasville are PC Matt Whitman (left), Liberal Ben Jessome (centre) and New Democrat Paul McGuinness (right). (CBC)

But now, incumbent Liberal backbencher Ben Jessome has an austerity government to defend as he tries to hang on against municipal councillorMatt Whitman, who is running for the Tories.Also vying for the seat are Paul McGuinness,the leader of a local ratepayers association running for the NDP, and Greendeputyleader Jessica Alexander.

Hants West

This central Nova Scotia district is traditionally Progressive Conservative, and has gone Liberal only three times since 1948. That makes incumbent Chuck Porter an especially interesting candidate, as a former Tory who left the PC caucus in June 2014 after an argument with leader Jamie Baillie.

This election marks the first that Chuck Porter will be running as a Liberal rather than a Tory. (CBC)

Porter sat as an Independent in the immediate aftermath beforejoiningthe Liberal caucus last year. He's defeated Liberal candidates in the last three provincial elections, and now he's running as one of them.

Sydney-Whitney Pier

This Cape Breton electoral district may also serve as an indicator of the Liberals' strength by looking at how well their backbenchers perform.

Incumbent Derek Mombourquette was elected in a 2015 byelection to replace Gordie Gosse, a popular New Democrat MLA who resigned after he was diagnosed with cancer. Mombourquette is up against Laurie MacIntosh for the Tories and Madonna Doucette for the New Democrats.

The NDP see this as a seat it can win, as evidenced by Gary Burrill's numerous visits to the riding and the party regularly using Doucette's name in media releases.

Cape Breton is friendly territory for unions and the Liberals' legislation that was viewed as anti-union could factor here.

Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River

This district is the only one held by the New Democrats in central Nova Scotia, and is surrounded by a sea of red and blue seats. Incumbent Lenore Zann has won with comfortable margins in each of the last two elections in what had previously been Tory territory. Between 1978 and 2009, the riding voted PC on all but one occasion whenin 1978a Liberal was elected.

She faces a strong challenge from Tory candidate Keltie Jones, who narrowly lost the race for Truro mayor in the last two municipal elections. The Liberals are hanging their hopes on newcomer Craig Johnson.

Queens-Shelburne

This electoral district is up for grabs after longtime New Democrat MLA Sterling Belliveau announced last year he would not seek re-election.

It may be one of the most difficult districts to predict, in part because it is the product of a merger of two older districts.

From left to right: Liberal candidate Vernon Oickle, PC candidate Kim Masland, NDP candidate John Davis. (CBC)

The Tories are running Kim Masland, the executive assistant for former MP Gerald Keddy. The Liberal candidate is longtime area reporter and editor Vernon Oickle, while well-known environmentalist John Davis carries the NDP banner. Kathaleen Milan is running for the Greens.