The Pollcast: A last look at the Conservative leadership race

The CBCPollcast, hosted by CBC poll analyst ric Grenier, explores the world of electoralpolitics,political polls and the trends they reveal.

Most of the votes have already been cast. The identity of the next leader of the Conservative Party is somewhere in the mass of ballots sitting in a counting room in Vaughan, Ont. Once those ballots are processed, the result will be revealed on Saturday night.

Who will emerge as the next leader of Her Majesty's Official Opposition and the person to take on Justin Trudeau's Liberals in 2019?

• How the Conservative vote could be won, ballot by ballot
• Podcasts: Subscribe to the CBCPollcast

Before a single person had put his or her name forward, Pollcast host ric Grenier has been joined by Conservative insiders Chad Rogers of Crestview Strategyand Tim Powers of Summa Strategies to break down the race. They come back one more time to give their final thoughts before the next leader is named.

Do Michael Chong or Kellie Leitch have a path to victory? What impact could social conservatives Pierre Lemieux and Brad Trost have on the vote? Can either Erin O'Toole or Andrew Scheer garner enough second choice support to surpass Maxime Bernier?

And just how much of a favourite is Bernier?

Listen to the full discussion above or subscribe to the CBCPollcast and listen to past episodes.

Past episodes with Chad Rogers and Tim Powers on the Conservative leadership race:

• Jan.2016: Your primer on the Conservative leadership race
• May 2016:The state of the Conservative leadership race
• July2016:Tony Clement in, JasonKenney out
• Sept.2016: The impact of MacKay's decision not to run
• Nov.2016: Conservative leadership begins to heat up
• Jan. 2017: O'Leary, French debate shake up race
• Mar. 2017: 3 months to go in CPC leadership race
• Apr. 2017: Bernier, O'Leary or someone else?
• Apr. 2017: Kevin O'Leary's exit

Follow ric GrenierandTim Powerson Twitter.