As rivals drop out, could Donald Trump seal Republican nomination on Tuesday? - Action News
Home WebMail Friday, November 22, 2024, 11:12 AM | Calgary | -10.8°C | Regions Advertise Login | Our platform is in maintenance mode. Some URLs may not be available. |
WorldAnalysis

As rivals drop out, could Donald Trump seal Republican nomination on Tuesday?

Could Donald Trump seal the Republican presidential nomination on Tuesday? It's a possibility with his rivals dropping out, the latest being Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. His last significant opponent is Nikki Haley, and unless she wins in New Hampshire on Tuesday, Trump may prove unbeatable.

His last significant opponent, Nikki Haley, has hopes pinned on New Hampshire

Trump pumps fist on stage, with crowd in background
Former U.S. president Donald Trump, shown at a campaign rally in Manchester, N.H., on Saturday, has one significant challenger left for the Republican nomination after Ron DeSantis dropped out: Nikki Haley, a former UN ambassador and South Carolina governor. (Matt Rourke/The Associated Press)

The final visible flicker of resistance to Donald Trump in the Republican Party consists of little crowds like one in a high school library in the town of Derry, N.H.

People gatheredover the weekend to hear Nikki Haleyfrom an atypical cross-partisan coalition: Democrats, Independents and Republicans, all voting in Tuesday's New Hampshire primary.

She's the last person standing against Trump in the Republican presidential race after Ron DeSantis, the Florida governor, quit Sunday and endorsed Trump.

It could be the de-facto end of the Republican race if Haley, aformer United Nations ambassador and South Carolina governor, loses the New Hampshire primary to her former boss, Trump.

This is the closest thing to a state tailor-made for Haley: it has relatively moderate Republicans and loose rules allowing anyone to participate. Independents can vote here, as can Democrats if they registered in time.

If she can't beat Trump here, his allies will argue, she can't beat him anywhere, and pressure will mount for her to step aside and let the former presidentstart fighting the general election.

A political science professor from a nearby college in Massachusetts, who came to hear Haley in Derry on Sunday, described this primary as a chance to delay Trump's triumph.

Man holds sign that says Pick Nikki
Rich Padova, a political science professor from Massachusetts, came to New Hampshire to see Haley. An Independent, he says he's supporting Haley in the primary in order to halt Trump. (Alexander Panetta/CBC)

"I'm hoping she'll slow [Trump] down, perhaps overtake him, put him in his place, if you will," said Rich Padova, an Independent who has mostly voted for Democrats in presidential elections.

Otherwise, if she loses badly on Tuesday, he said,"It could be the death knell."

How Democrats could tip the scales for Haley

Pollsshow Haley trailing Trumpby a dozen points or more in New Hampshire, although it's hard to predict exactly how many non-Republicans might show up.

One Democrat elsewhere in the state said she's heard from a number of non-Republicans planning to vote in the primary in this unusual year, where national Democrats are boycotting their party's New Hampshire primary.

"Multiple people have brought it up to me," said Kerri Harrington, an acupuncturist running for a local council seat this year in Littleton, N.H.

Scores of people in front of stage where Haley speaks
Haley supporters, a mixed crowd of Democrats, Republicans and Independents, attend an event inside a high school library in the town of Derry, N.H., on Sunday. (Alexander Panetta/CBC)

"Just in conversation [people will say], 'We could actually turn this around and get Nikki a lot more votes and have Trump not do as well.'"

Harrington dropped in on a recent Haley event in her areaand noticed how politically mixed the crowd was, with plenty of Democrats: "There was a lot of purple in that room."

Haley draws smaller crowds than Trump much smaller.

A Trump campaign event on Saturday night sawthousands filla college hockey arena, forcing police to redirect traffic around downtown Manchester, N.H.

Why some Republicans prefer Haley

Yet it remains the case that nearly half the Republican Party, in New Hampshireas in Iowa, would apparently rather nominate someone other than Trump.

"We're not a country of coronations," Haley said on Sunday, making the point that few people have voted so far and that there's no proof yet of a consensus for Trump.

"Can you hear that sound? That's the sound of a two-person race," Haley said at a boisterous rally later in the evening in Exeter, N.H., where she appeared with a celebrity supporter: Judith Sheindlin, also known as TV's Judge Judy.

Some diehard Republicans supporting Haley voiced their own reasons for seeking a Trump alternative.

Woman holds autographed Haley sign
Elaine Olundsen of Nashua, N.H., says she'd vote for Trump if he's the general election candidate. But she prefers Haley for two reasons: less chaos, and her foreign policy, including on Ukraine. She got a poster signed by the candidate on Sunday. (Alexander Panetta/CBC)

Elaine Olundsen, for example, voted for Trump twice, liked much of what he didand would vote for him again against President Joe Biden.

But she prefers Haley.

"She's Trump without the baggage, the chaosand the legal entanglements," Olundsen said.

She cited two reasons for supporting Haley: the desire for less drama, but also a substantive policy issue, saying she appreciates Haley pushing back on Russian President Vladimir Putin and supporting Ukraine.

WATCH | Ron DeSantis suspends run for president:

Ron DeSantis drops out of U.S. presidential race, endorses Donald Trump

8 months ago
Duration 1:07
In this excerpt from a video posted to X, formerly Twitter, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis suspended his run for the Republican presidential nomination and endorsed former U.S. president Donald Trump on Sunday.

Eddy Smith of Auburn, N.H., voiced a similar view.

Even thoughhe's prepared to support Trump again, Smithsaid he prefers Haley's foreign policy closer to a traditional Republican approach that embraced Americanalliances.

"I like a muscular attitude in a very dangerous world right now," he said in an interview.

"I definitely think we have to support Israel. I definitely think we have to support Ukraine. And I think that if we don't, the dominoes are going to start to fall. And we're a domino. We're the end of the dominoes."

'Chaos follows him,' Haley says of Trump

It may be getting too late to derail Trump.

A remark from the crowd during Haley's speech in the library hinted at one common complaint levelled against her and other candidates: that they were too timid, for too long, in attacking their party's unofficial leader.

Haley was going through her standard stump speech and arrived at a line where she laments that Trump keeps lying about her, so she'll tell the truth about him.

"Finally!" one member of the audience shouted.

A woman with long brown hair, wearing a white sweater, shakes hands with a woman wearing a red ski jacket, surrounded by a crowd of people.
Haley, accompanied by New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu, left, shakes hands with a diner at a restaurant in Epping, N.H., on Sunday. (Matt Rourke/The Associated Press)

Haley went on to say that Americans are exhausted. They want an alternative to Biden, who is unpopular and, she said, in mental decline. But she said they don't want the constant drama associated with Trump.

"Rightly or wrongly, chaos follows him. You know I'm right," she said. "And we can't have a country in disarray in a world on fire and go through four more years of chaos. We won't survive it."

Meanwhile, Trump is ramping up pressure for rivals to drop out.

He's being helped by the many elected officials who have endorsed himand are now using TV appearances to declare the race essentially over and saying it's time to unite.

Trump blasts New Hampshire rules

Trump flaunted that dominance by inviting onto the stage in New Hampshire numerous politicians from Haley's home state and site of the next big primary contest: South Carolina.

The state's governor, lieutenant governor, Speaker of the House of Representatives, U.S. Sen.Tim Scottand others have been appearing with Trump at events.

The Scott endorsement, in particular, stung Trump-skeptical Republicans: He was first appointed to the Senateby Haleyin 2012.

People cheering, one wearing a suit resembling US flag with his face painted in flag colours
Thousands of Trump backers fill a hockey arena in Manchester, N.H., on Saturday night. Police were forced to redirect traffic around the downtown due to the size of the crowd. (Matt Rourke/The Associated Press)

The pro-Trump crowd in Manchester booed references to Haley.

Trump pre-emptively brushed off any success Haley might have on Tuesday in New Hampshire. He blamedopen primary rules, which exist in a number of states, where people don't have to be registered as supporters of the party in whose primary they vote.

"They want to get liberals and Biden supporters [to vote for Haley]," Trump said on Saturday.

"What the hell kind of Republican candidate is that?... They want to turn liberal voters into Republicans for about two minutes."

He said it'stime for his party to unify, stop wasting resources on pointless primariesand start targeting Biden.

Trump may very well get his wish. Perhaps the only thing standing in his way is a Haley upset win on Tuesday, which would pause the coronation.