CNN s senior political data reporter flagged a problem for Democrat Kamala Harris presidential campaign on Friday as he pointed to polling data showing that 28% of U.S. respondents believe the country is on the right track.

Harry Enten said that polling finds the right track figure is, on average, at 25% in years when the incumbent party in the White House loses the presidential election.

That looks a heck of a lot like that 28%, Enten said.

He added that the right track figure is, on average, at 42% in years when the incumbent party wins the presidential election.

This, to me, is a bad sign for Kamala Harris campaign, Enten said.

The bottom line is, it looks a lot more like a loser than it does like a winner when it comes to the country being on the right track.

Enten later said that far more than 28% thought the country was on the track in years when the incumbent party won the presidential election.

Bill Clinton won the 1996 election when the figure was at 39%, for instance, while Ronald Reagan won his reelection bid when the figure was at 47% in 1984.

So, there is no historical precedent for the White House party winning another term in the White House when the country, when just 28% of the country, thinks that were on the right track, Enten said.

Simply put, it would be historically unprecedented.

H/T RealClearPolitics