Nominating Trump Could Lose North Carolina For Republicans, But His Fans Dont Care | HuffPost Latest News - Action News
Home WebMail Tuesday, November 5, 2024, 06:50 AM | Calgary | 0.6°C | Regions Advertise Login | Our platform is in maintenance mode. Some URLs may not be available. |
  • No news available at this time.
Posted: 2023-06-18T12:00:13Z | Updated: 2023-06-18T12:00:13Z

GREENSBORO, N.C. If Republicans choose Donald Trump as their 2024 nominee and wind up losing North Carolina for the first time since 2008, activists like Camilla Zapolsky will be a big reason why.

The 64-year-old transplant from Chicago is not interested in any of the other Republican candidates who could be on the state primary ballot next Super Tuesday. She also doesnt care about the growing number of criminal charges the coup-attempting former president faces.

If hes in a jail cell, Ill still vote for him, she told HuffPost at the state GOPs recent convention.

And when its pointed out to her that a number of Republican candidates are running for president who are not under indictment, her response is to point out that President Joe Biden , former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and former Vice President Mike Pence were also investigated for possessing classified documents. The others should be indicted, too, she said.

Zapolskys promise to vote for an incarcerated Trump was extreme even by the standards of a party convention where he was the most popular, by far, of the three 2024 candidates who appeared. Some 1,000 Republicans paid $150 each for tickets to Trumps dinner, compared to about 900 who paid $150 for a DeSantis dinner and 600 who paid $75 each for a Pence luncheon.

Among the dozens of attendees interviewed by HuffPost at the event, not one said that Trumps chaotic four years in office, his attempt to remain in power despite losing the 2020 election or his now two felony indictments made him unacceptable.

All of which is why Biden, who barely lost the state in 2020, is planning a concerted effort to win there next year, hoping to take advantage of the same demographic changes that turned Virginia into a Democratic state 15 years ago and let Biden win Georgia in 2020.

I think youre seeing the same transformation in North Carolina, said Morgan Jackson, a top political adviser to the states Democratic governor, Roy Cooper.

The turnout numbers from 2020 tell a story that should have Republicans in the state alarmed. From 2016 to 2020, Democratic turnout increased 7 percentage points, while Republican and independent turnout increased 6 percentage points. Trump nevertheless saw his margin of victory drop from 3.6% in 2016 to 1.3% in 2020 suggesting that small but significant slices of independents and even Republicans who supported Trump in 2016 moved to Biden.

Jackson said that, as has occurred nationally, college-educated voters in the state and particularly college-educated women turned against Trump and are not likely to return. Whats more, the fastest-growing areas of North Carolina have disproportionate numbers of these voters, he said.

Theyre getting bluer as they grow, he added.

One alum from Bidens 2020 campaign familiar with the 2024 strategy to win North Carolina, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said that even if Trump winds up not winning the nomination, his rivals efforts to outdo him will end up hurting the eventual winner. Whoever the Republican nominee is will have just emerged from a contest to be as extreme, divisive, and angry as possible, he said.