538

Here's Why Nate Silver's Model Was All Over The Place This Year
538s presidential model is built in a sub-optimal way. Its at once far too complex, while also making basic errors that have thrown its projections out of whack.
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Nate Silver Is Unskewing Polls -- All Of Them. Here's How.
The vaunted 538 election forecaster is putting his thumb on the scales.
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